Resilience of what to what?

Jack Kruf | April 2024 (update from August 2016)

What is resilience? Well, there is no simple answer to this. Especially not regarding a city’s ecosystem. The concept, you might say, is in development across different sciences and has recently entered the public governance domain related to society’s social-ecological system.

Can resilience be measured as an indicator of an ecosystem’s state? How are the living and non-living factors of the measured system calculated? Can it create true insight into the tone of the city, society, and nature?

Resilience is the new buzzword among public leaders and managers, but it has played an essential role in natural ecosystems for millions of years. It was launched in 2013 with 100 Resilient Cities as a relatively new concept of thinking and acting from the government’s perspective. But what is it about? The ability to endure stress and still perform, or the capacity to recover after a catastrophe? Maybe both.

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Delftse aanpak risico’s in beeld

Gemeente Delft | oktober 2017

Begin 2017 is het raadsonderzoek naar de grote projecten afgerond. Naast het onderzoeksrapport is door de onderzoekscommissie de “Ingrediëntennotitie voor een Regeling Risicovolle Projecten” opgesteld. In beide rapporten zijn aanbevelingen gedaan om tegenwicht en tegenspraak in de gemeentelijke organisatie te verbeteren. Om deze aanbevelingen naar de toekomst toe te borgen heeft de raad het college verzocht een regeling risicovolle projecten op te stellen.

Met deze notitie doet het college een voorstel aan de raad voor een aanpak om in Delft zorgvuldig met risico’s om te gaan. De aanpak is niet nieuw. Deze bouwt voort op de maatregelen die het college al sinds 2014 heeft genomen op het dieptepunt van de financiële crisis.

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PreMortem

Method of Risk Assessment

Gary Klein | December 2007 (by Jack Kruf)

According to Klein (2007), “Projects fail at a spectacular rate. One reason is that too many people are reluctant to speak up about their reservations during the all-important planning phase. By making it safe for dissenters who are knowledgeable about the undertaking and worried about its weaknesses to speak up, you can improve a project’s chances of success.”

The Harvard Business Review article: “In a premortem, team members assume that the project they are planning has just failed—as so many do—and then generate plausible reasons for its demise. Those with reservations may speak freely at the outset, so that the project can be improved rather than autopsied.”

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The Kyoto Protocol

United Nations | December 1997

The Kyoto Protocol was adopted on 11 December 1997 and entered into force on 16 February 2005. Owing to a complex ratification process, it currently has 192 Parties. The treaty follows the main principles agreed upon in the 1992 convention.

It operationalizes the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change by committing industrialized countries and economies in transition to limit and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in accordance with agreed-upon individual targets. The Convention itself only asks those countries to adopt mitigation policies and measures and report periodically.

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UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)

United Nations | 21 March 1992

Today, the framework has near-universal membership. The 198 countries ratified the Convention are called Parties to the Convention. The ultimate aim of the UNFCCC is to prevent “dangerous” human interference with the climate system.

The Convention recognized that there was a problem. The UNFCCC borrowed an essential line from one of the most successful multilateral environmental treaties in history (the Montreal Protocol, in 1987): it bound member states to act in the interests of human safety despite scientific uncertainty.

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Territorial Approach on Climate and Resilience

OECD | December 2023

Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C as early as 2030, with current climate action falling short of meeting the Paris Agreement goals and a mounting risk of tipping beyond the ability of human societies to adapt.

Building on broader OECD work on climate, this report proposes a new OECD territorial climate indicator framework. It demonstrates that different territories have different potential to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, adapt to climate impacts, and address vulnerabilities.

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Nederlandse code voor goed openbaar bestuur

Dutch code for good public governance

Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties / Ministry of the Interior and Kingdom Relations | 2009

Minister dr. G. ter Horst: “Beginselen van de democratische rechtsstaat vormen in Nederland het kader van ons functioneren. Burgers en overheid moeten er samen invulling aan geven. De overheid kan dit niet zonder de burgers; de burgers kunnen dit niet zonder de overheid. In die wederkerigheid is een juiste balans nodig van rechten en plichten van de burger enerzijds, en van de overheid anderzijds.

• Principles of the democratic rule of law form the framework of our functioning in the Netherlands. Citizens and the government must flesh them out together. The government cannot do this without the citizens; the citizens cannot do this without the government. This reciprocity requires the right balance of rights and duties of citizens on the one hand and of government on the other.

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