AI in Strategic Foresight: Reshaping Anticipatory Governance

AI’s intersection with strategic foresight offers both opportunities and challenges.

World Economic Forum’s Global Foresight Network, the OECD Government Foresight Community, and the Dubai Future Foundation | November 2025

“Innovations in AI have opened the door to possible future scenarios that would have been unthinkable just a few years ago. The technology affects decision-makers around the world, and perhaps none more than practitioners of strategic foresight – the field where experts explore multiple plausible futures and develop strategies to help organizations, governments, and others prepare for events to come. To evaluate AI’s impact on strategic foresight, this white paper presents the results of a survey of 167 foresight experts from 55 countries, drawn from the World Economic Forum’s Global Foresight Network, the OECD Government Foresight Community, and the Dubai Future Foundation.

The results show that a majority of foresight practitioners now use AI in their work. Practitioners report that the technology is useful for essential elements of foresight such as trend analysis, future scenario development and identification of emerging themes and issues. Experts primarily value AI for saving time, saying it streamlines their work by handling repetitive and labour-intensive tasks. Respondents also appreciate AI’s ability to process and analyse large datasets, uncovering trends and insights that would be difficult or time-consuming to identify manually.

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Denktank ‘From Global to Local’ 2017

Cyberstrategie (Lambrecht Nieuwehuize) en Waterbeheerrisico’s (Martin Kuipers)

Jack Kruf en Eric Frank | maart 2017

Union des Dirigeants Territoriaux de l’Europe / European Association for Local Government Chief Executives en PRIMO (Public Risk Management Organisation), de enige vereniging in Nederland die zich richt op risicomanagement in het publieke domeinen heeft in Nederland BNG Bank als partner. Vertrekpunt dit jaar zijn de inzichten in de publieke risico’s verbonden met cyber security en water.

Kader

Wereldwijd valt er nogal wat te rapporteren over trends en ontwikkelingen, kansen en bedreigingen, onzekerheden en risico’s met betrekking tot de staat van onze planeet. Het World Economic Forum (WEForum) publiceerde begin januari haar bevindingen in het Global Risks Report 2017.

Conclusie naar aanleiding van de resultaten is dat deze staat zeer zorgelijk is en de aard en omvang van risico’s snel toenemen. De mensheid veroorzaakt spanningen, ontwrichtingen, grootschalige vervuiling en verwaarlozing. De kwaliteit van de aarde en daarmee van onze eigen leefbaarheid komt steeds verder onder druk, zo blijkt uit de analyses. Het rapport geeft de lezer inzicht en doorzicht wat de samenhang der dingen is. De diagnoses zijn feitelijk en scherp.

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Ransomware: An insurance market perspective

Source: Geneva Association

  • New Geneva Association report highlights the important role of private re/insurers, alongside governments, in boosting society’s resilience to ransomware and ensuring the full benefits of digitalisation can be realised.
  • The report explores the significant value add of cyber insurance beyond risk transfer, amid ongoing debate on whether to ban ransom payments or associated insurance coverage.
  • Governments should do more to counter ransomware attacks: disrupt cybercriminal business models, fight illicit use of cryptocurrencies and promote cyber hygiene throughout business and society.

ZURICH, 20 July 2022 – The frequency of ransomware attacks, a form of cyber extortion, is increasing, along with the size and nature of ransom demands. Cybercriminals are deploying more sophisticated approaches to target governments, businesses and individuals, with serious and costly effects. The growth of the ransomware-as-a-service (RaaS) business model has also enabled threat actors with limited technical skills to launch highly disruptive attacks.

Cyber insurance provides vital financial protection and operational support in the event of an attack, but ransomware has contributed to the recent deterioration in cyber insurers’ underwriting performance. Ransomware accounted for 75% of all cyber insurance claims in 2020 (AM Best) and is also likely to have been the costliest loss event category in 2021 (WTW).

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