Publieke waarden en risico’s in Straatsburg

De geboorte van een organisatie voor publiek risicomanagement (PRIMO)

Jack Kruf* | mei 2005

Vorige maand, op 1 april 2005, kwam het Executive Comittee van UDITE, het netwerk van gemeentesecretarissen en gemeentelijk algemeen directeuren in Europa, bijeen in Straatsburg om ‘publiek risicomanagement’ als nieuw idee te bespreken. De gemeentesecretarissen keken gezamenlijk naar een nieuw gepresenteerde aanpak, die Alan Vendelbo, president van UDITE, bovenaan de agenda had geplaatst. Lees verder “Publieke waarden en risico’s in Straatsburg”

Creating Public Value

John O’Dea* | April 2014

Public value is defined as “using government assets to produce a good and just society”. The term was first mooted in 1995 by Mark H. Moore – Hauser Professor of Non-Profit Organisations at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government – in his book Creating Public Value (Harvard University Press). Public value in public sector management is the equivalent of shareholder value in private sector organisations. Shareholder value is a business term which implies that the ultimate measure of a company’s success is the extent to which it enriches its shareholders (owners) by paying dividends and/or causing its stock price to increase in value.

Lees verder “Creating Public Value”

Risk Governance: towards and integrative approach

A framework by International Risk Governance Council

Ortwin Renn, with annexes by Peter Graham | 2005

In this comprehensive white paper Risk Governance: Towards an integrative approach – coordinated and edited by Professor Ortwin Renn – the International Risk Governance Council (IRGC) brought together: “an integrated analytic framework for risk governance which provides guidance for the development of comprehensive assessment and management strategies to cope with risks, in particular at the global level. The framework integrates scientific, economic, social and cultural aspects and includes the effective engagement of stakeholders.” 

In this article the headlines are summarized. In the light of history this framework is noteworthy and marks the next phase in thinking of the risk concepts. It focuses on “the improvement of risk governance strategies for risks with international implications and which have the potential to harm human health and safety, the economy, the environment, and/or the fabric of society at large.”

Lees verder “Risk Governance: towards and integrative approach”

Energietransitie en omgang met onzekerheid

Dit artikel is tot stand gekomen in opdracht van en samenspraak met Frank Janse (BNG Bank) en Jack Kruf (PRIMO & UDITE)

Prof. Dr. Bastiaan Zoeteman[1] | 2018

De denktank ‘From Global to Local’[2] te Den Haag op 20 april 2018 is erop gericht de inventiviteit te verbeteren van lokale gemeenschappen in het omgaan met op hogere schaalniveaus spelende onzekerheden met veel impact. Daartoe worden uitkomsten van relevante onderzoeken verbonden met het risicomanagement rond de uitdagingen die deze onzekerheden oproepen voor het regionale en lokale bestuur.

Dergelijke onzekerheden worden niet alleen door rampen en crises opgeroepen maar ook door al dan niet terechte verwachtingen over het handelen van de overheden bij dergelijke situaties en over het te verwachten verloop van gebeurtenissen in de toekomst.

Door het zichtbaar maken van zulke onzekerheden in combinatie met een thema, in dit geval het thema van de energietransitie ter voorkoming van verdergaande klimaatverandering, wordt het mogelijk om gerichte handelingsperspectieven te ontwerpen die uitvoerbaar zijn en het vertrouwen in de overheid ondersteunen. Lees verder “Energietransitie en omgang met onzekerheid”

Prospect Theory

An analysis of decision under risk

Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky | 1979

This paper presents a critique of expected utility theory as a descriptive model of decision making under risk, and develops an alternative model, called prospect theory.

Choices among risky prospects exhibit several pervasive effects that are inconsistent with the basic tenets of utility theory. In particular, people underweight outcomes that are merely probable in comparison with outcomes that are obtained with certainty. This tendency, called the certainty effect, contributes to risk aversion in choices involving sure gains and to risk seeking in choices involving sure losses.

Lees verder “Prospect Theory”

The new Danish guide on Risk Leadership

Lars Løkke Rasmussen and Jesper Hjort | May 2007

In January 2007, PRIMO Danmark launched its national guide on (public) risk management, Risikoledelse – En Kommunal Opgave. The guide was endorsed by the Danish Minister of Interior, Lars Løkke Rasmussen, who wrote the first part of the preface to the guide.

Rasmussen: “Every day, local authority managers make decisions involving risks; that is, decisions involving significant uncertainty. It is important to note that these may be risks facing citizens, local communities or the local authority organisation itself.

Risk is simply a condition of life when the future is uncertain. To put it in another way: making important decisions on an uncertain foundation is also part of overall management. Executives can never be entirely certain about the foundations of their decisions. However, if entirely risk-proof decisions were possible, nothing would happen.

So, for executives, the whole secret is – in the words of Kierkegaard – to take upon one self this uncertainty. Executives in the public sector should, therefore, work systematically on minimizing the negative sides of risks and on maximising the positive sides.

The task of dealing with risks in society in general has, so far, been carried out reasonably well. From a historical perspective, the world – not to mention the average Danish municipality – has by no means become a more uncertain or risky place to live. To the contrary: we live longer, we live healthier lives and we have prospects of fewer losses of human lives and assets than ever before.

When we, nevertheless, see a need to focus on public executives’ ability to handle uncertainty, this is due to a number of essential changes of the conditions under which this management is carried out. It is not just a question of a more globalised world, or of a higher degree of complexity in the production of services and the exercise of public authority.

And, it is not just a question of an increasingly larger body of laws and regulations, nor just a question of the rapid technological developments and of the many opposing pressures from an increasing number of stakeholders with whom today’s executives need to deal. It is not least a question of the public’s very explicit and legitimate expectations that the authorities manage the part of our daily lives, for which they today – to a considerable extent – are responsible.

This leaves executives with an equally legitimate claim on having decision support; and a systemised decision support for dealing with uncertainties is exactly what risk leadership is about.

By working with corporate governance, the private sector has attempted to meet today’s expectations of good corporate governance from the public and from politicians as well as from national and international requirements and regulations. From the very start, risk management has been recognised as an integral part of corporate governance in international codes of conduct as well as in the (for example) Danish Nørby Report.

“I would argue that the public sector as well should include risk management as a natural part of good public governance.”

To earn the citizens trust everyday places a heavy responsibility on local authority top executives. Of course, public executives and organisations cannot guarantee certainty and progress. However, they can assist citizens, local communities and private enterprises in handling the risks which are connected with safeguarding the welfare of society now and in the future in a more thoughtful, yet also more proactive, way. Instead of letting ourselves be governed by fear, we should face the future in an intelligent way.”


From municipal perspective

Chairman of PRIMO Denmark Jesper Hjort writes in the preface of Risikoledelse: En Kommunal Opgave* (2007):

“Challenges lying in front of us. This guide aims to give top municipal managers a concise approach to risk management, thus providing them with decision support to systematically manage uncertainty. At the same time, it is hoped that other managers and specialists will also benefit from the reading and that the ideas and systems of risk management will achieve greater application in the public sector in Denmark. 

Municipal leaders have a great responsibility—and after the municipal reform, it is no less. With its broad-spectrum scope, complexity of services, and number of employees, the average Danish municipality is at least as difficult to manage as most private companies. 

For some years, private companies in Denmark have been able to get help with risk management through the Nørby report’s recommendations and other codes and standards. Something similar has not been worked out for the public sector, which has had to look to England in particular to find guidance in this area. With the assistance of several private companies, a contribution to a Danish model of risk management in the public sector is now available. 

The guidance will show public leaders that, given their significant responsibilities, they are well served by a mental and methodical response to critical uncertainties when making decisions. The guide will primarily introduce the risk management philosophy and illustrate how risk management can be translated.

Risk management is well-known in most municipalities and other public organisations. If public leaders don’t improve some form of risk management, they will hardly be leaders for very long. However, this introduction is necessary because the terms of management, public and private, have changed on a number of key points. It challenges both traditional operational risk management and the more intuitive approach, not to mention the often indirect acceptance of risks in practice. 

The guidance has been made from the recognition by the co-acting municipalities that the time is ripe for a strategic and methodical approach to managing risks. The European Municipal Directors’ Association, UDITE, has also recognised this by putting risk management on the agenda in the 15 Member States in 2005 and forming the Public Risk Management Organisation (PRIMO). 

The starting point is that risk management does not require the reassurance of the municipal organisation or a change in a manager’s entire management philosophy and style. Instead, risk management is about completing ordinary work with practical knowledge and knowledge in relation to risk issues. 

The guide is prepared in the spirit of public governance, and it is hoped that it will help meet the challenges that municipalities face following municipal reform. The guide is based on five key recommendations:

      1. Put risk management on the executive board’s agenda.
      2. Review the overall organisation from a risk perspective.
      3. Insert risk and opportunity assessment as a form requirement in decision settings.
      4. Integrate risk management into the municipality’s information and management system.
      5. Establish a central controller risk management function.

Following these recommendations can really reap the benefits of risk management. The communities both clearly achieve greater planning and security while strengthening development and innovation. All in all, municipalities can better meet their social and social obligations. 

All experiences show that good risk management increases confidence in management. It is my hope that the management boards of the new municipalities will follow these recommendations as much as possible, thereby making risk management a municipal task in the near future.”

This article was published in the Public Risk Forum in May 2007.

*Translation from Danish by Jack Kruf.

“Long history of corporate governance puts UK in the lead”

Interview with Dr. Lynn Drennan, CEO of ALARM, about risk management

Jack Kruf | 2023 from original (Dutch) by Jos Moerkamp| 2006

Great Britain is the European example of well-developed risk management in the public sector. In a country where you can insure yourself against almost anything, governments and other public organisations appear to do a lot to eliminate and limit risks.

Dr. Lynn Drennan

ALARM (Association of Local Authority Risk Managers) has grown into a national public sector risk management forum with over 1,800 participating organisations— a conversation with Dr. Lynn Drennan, ALARM chief executive.

Lees verder ““Long history of corporate governance puts UK in the lead””