Premortem

Volgens Gary Klein mislukken projecten  in een spectaculair tempo. Een van de redenen is dat te veel mensen hun bedenkingen niet willen uiten tijdens de zo belangrijke planningsfase. Door het veilig te maken voor andersdenkenden die goed op de hoogte zijn van de onderneming en zich zorgen maken over de zwakke punten ervan om zich uit te spreken, kun je de kans op succes van een project vergroten.

Gary Klein

Het artikel in de Harvard Business Review stelt Klein (2007): “Bij een premortem gaan teamleden ervan uit dat het project dat ze plannen net is mislukt – zoals zo vaak het geval is – en genereren ze vervolgens plausibele redenen voor de ondergang ervan. Degenen met bedenkingen kunnen aan het begin vrijuit spreken, zodat het project kan worden verbeterd in plaats van autopsie.” Lees verder “Premortem”

Lessons from Space Shuttle

The CNN Original Series “Space Shuttle Columbia: The Final Flight” uncovers the events that ultimately led to disaster. The four-part documentary premieres at 9 p.m. ET/PT Sunday.

Upon its inception, NASA’s space shuttle program promised to usher in a new era of exploration, keeping astronauts space-bound with a reusable and relatively cheap ride into orbit. It was a project that forever altered the course of spaceflight with its triumphs — and its tragic failures. Read the findings.

PreMortem

Method of Risk Assessment

Jack Kruf | December 2007

According to Klein (2007), “Projects fail at a spectacular rate. One reason is that too many people are reluctant to speak up about their reservations during the all-important planning phase. By making it safe for dissenters who are knowledgeable about the undertaking and worried about its weaknesses to speak up, you can improve a project’s chances of success.”

The Harvard Business Review article: “In a premortem, team members assume that the project they are planning has just failed—as so many do—and then generate plausible reasons for its demise. Those with reservations may speak freely at the outset, so that the project can be improved rather than autopsied.” Lees verder “PreMortem”

Een debat over water

Een treffen van leden van de Eerste Kamer, experts en adviseurs.

Eerste Kamer der Staten-Generaal | maart 2024

Den Haag, dinsdag 26 maart 2024: commissie Infrastructuur, Waterstaat en Omgeving (IWO). Het debat van de commissieleden met de experts Jeroen Haan (Unie van Waterschappen), Co Verdaas (Deltacommissaris), Bas Jonkman (TU Delft), Barbara Joziasse (Algemene Rekenkamer), Werenfried Spit (KNMI), Karin van der Wiel (KNMI) en Annemieke Nijhof (Deltares).

Het is aanbevelingswaardig de opname van het debat (2 uur) te bekijken / beluisteren én de ingediende documenten eens te lezen. Het is een historisch belangrijk moment waar de laatste inzichten in klimaatverandering en de nieuwe politiek-bestuurlijke dynamiek elkaar ontmoeten.

Lees verder “Een debat over water”

The State of Trust

A collision of trust, innovation, and politics

Edelman Trust Institute | January 2024

The 2024 Edelman Trust Barometer reveals a new paradox at the heart of society. Rapid innovation promises a new era of prosperity but risks exacerbating trust issues, leading to further societal instability and political polarisation.

In a year when half the global population can vote for new leaders, the acceptance of innovation is essential to our society’s success. While people agree that scientists are essential to this, many are concerned that politics has too much influence on science. This perception contributes to the lack of trust in the institutions responsible for steering us toward change and a more prosperous future. The key findings from the survey and research are:

    • The decline of authority.
    • Innovation is on the ballot.
    • A Reset for Science in Society.
    • Restoring Trust in the Promise of Innovation.

The future is not in good hands, according to this barometer.

Download the 2024 Edelman Trust Barometer Global Report.

Rising above water

Marta Jiménez | October 2021, Utrecht University

Sea levels are rising, and the rate of rise is accelerating. All over the world, many of today’s dikes, sea walls and flood barriers won’t be enough to hold back the water in the future. This will be particularly a problem in countries that lack the resources to maintain or fund extensive engineering projects to protect their citizens. But we can all learn from alternative, more affordable and flexible approaches that adapt to the rising water currently emerging all around the world.

Detail Rising above Water ©Utrecht University

Rather than only battling to keep ever-rising seas out, these natural solutions aim to help rebuild land above sea level. Researchers from Utrecht University are testing which of these strategies will work for specific regions to help tame the tide. And they’re also thinking ahead: how can we minimise the damage and ensure people have somewhere safe to go when the water does come?

Lees verder “Rising above water”

Simpler: The Future of Government

Cass Sunstein | 2014

Governments everywhere are undergoing a quiet and profound revolution: they’re getting simpler, more cost-effective, and focused on improved outcomes, not politics. For four years one of the leading lights of that revolution, Cass Sunstein, as President Obama’s “Regulatory Czar,” oversaw the brilliant and successful effort to give every American a better government.

For Americans, the future of government arrived in 2009. The government became simpler, smarter, and worked better. Cass Sunstein, America’s “regulatory czar” under President Barack Obama, was at the centre of it all. Drawing on state-of-the-art work in behavioural psychology and economics, Sunstein helped save the country more than $91 billion and an unknown number of lives.

Interview with Cas R. Sunstein about ‘Simpler’

This was accomplished through the extraordinary power of nudges—seemingly modest policies that preserve freedom of choice, better lives, and fundamentally improve government. In combination with cost-benefit analysis, nudges are already saving money, saving lives, and improving, by simplifying, government. In Simpler, Sunstein speaks for the first time about what he encountered and accomplished in the Obama Administration and the lessons for everyone going forward.

“In the United States, both plates and portions have increased dramatically over time. A really good nudge would be to make them smaller.”

– Cass R. Sunstein

We don’t need big or small government; we need better government. Simpler is a “lucid, engaging treatment of behavioural economics that sees a role for the state in nudging humans towards rationality and responsibility. The result is a forthright, compelling vision of technocratic government that’s both efficient and humane” (Publishers Weekly, starred review). And it just may be “the most important book to come out of President Obama’s first term” (Walter Isaacson).

Bibliography

Sunstein, C. (2014) Simpler: The future of government. New York: Simon & Schuster.

Review

In “a remarkably fun, engaging read” (Fortune.com), he explains how, why, and what should come next in Simpler: The Future of Government.